very cool research and animation.
Bridged BTC (NEAR Intents) BTC سجل الأسعار USD
امتلك BTC الآن
اشترِ وبع BTC بسهولة وأمان على BitMart.Bridged BTC (NEAR Intents) رؤى X
So how painful was this MSTR bear? I did some simulations. MSTR closed at $473.83 on Nov 20, 2024. Standing at that peak, I resampled its bitcoin era monthly returns into 1,000 random futures and let them run 20 months, using only data available before that day. Then I drew what actually happened on top.
Reality landed in the 2nd percentile. 21 of the 1,000 simulated paths ended below where the stock trades now. The median path ended near $1,598 because the inputs carry the full drift of the 2020 to 2024 run up.
To me that is the lesson. A dumb model with no opinion still put about a 1 in 48 chance on an outcome this bad or worse. The narrative at the peak put zero.
Method is on the chart: monthly closes, split adjusted, bootstrap with no drift adjustment, log scale.
Would you have taken 48 to 1 against this outcome in November 2024?
#SouthAfrica🇿🇦: In late 2025, Discovery Bank launched integrated #Bitcoin🕊️/crypto trading on its app with Luno, making it the first banking platform to offer such a service. https://t.co/vZRZpCrFdh
If Bitcoin dominance fades, where does the attention go next?
Utility or memes?
توقع السعر
متى يكون الوقت المناسب لشراء BTC؟ هل يجب أن أشتري BTC أو أبيعه الآن؟
توقعات Beacon
توقعات الأسعار الاحتمالية (الـ 24 ساعة القادمة)هذا التنبؤ هو منتج تقني تجريبي ويتم توفيره لأغراض مرجعية فقط. ولا يشكل نصيحة استثمارية. قد تؤثر الأحداث غير المتوقعة في العالم الحقيقي بشكل كبير في سلوك السوق. يجب على المتداولين اتخاذ القرارات بحذر.
How Many Bitcoins Are There?
How Much Is Bitcoin Today?
What Is Bitcoin Mining?
Bitcoin (BTC) is a digital asset and a payment system invented by Satoshi Nakamoto who published a related paper in 2008 and released it as open-source software in 2009. The system featured as peer-to-peer; users can transact directly without an intermediary. Transactions are verified by network nodes and recorded in a public distributed ledger called the blockchain. The ledger uses bitcoin as its unit of account. The system works without a central repository or single administrator, which has led the U.S. Treasury to categorize bitcoin as a decentralized virtual currency. Bitcoin is often called the first cryptocurrency, although prior systems existed. Bitcoin is more correctly described as the first decentralized digital currency. It is the largest of its kind in terms of total market value by now.
اكتشف المزيد.
BM Discovery
إدراج جديد
