2026年6月18日(水)
📊 On-Chain Analysis
ETH is quietly moving toward a supply shortage — a supply-demand improvement that the market is overlooking
Analysis Summary
・ETH staking rate has reached a record high of 32.5%
・On Binance, stablecoin inflows are rising while ETH outflows are occurring simultaneously
・Institutional demand is weak, but the supply-demand structure is improving
Looking at the current on-chain data, the most noteworthy change is happening in the ETH market.
Ethereum’s staking rate has reached an all-time high, and the amount of ETH available for free trading in the market is continuously decreasing.
Furthermore, on Binance, stablecoin inflows are increasing while ETH balances continue to decline. This indicates a situation where “buying capital is growing, but sell-side inventory is shrinking.”
On the other hand, Coinbase Premium remains at a low level, and there is no evidence of aggressive buying by U.S. institutional investors yet. While the supply-demand structure is improving, it appears that further demand expansion is needed for this to be reflected in price.
【XSWIN’s Perspective】
The market focuses only on price, but what truly matters is supply and demand. ETH supply is decreasing. If institutional demand recovers, significant changes could arise from the supply-demand side.
