G’day Folks,
Markets are complex places, filled with uncertainty, and the factors driving prices are constantly shifting and changing.
There is only so much information we can absorb and process at a time. We therefore need to simplify complex problems into more easily digestible frameworks that help us better understand the world, and filter out noise from the signal.
Back in May 2024 we published Quiet and Trending, which presented a framework for how I think about market inflection points, particularly as we move from a bull into a bear, or vice versa.
From my perspective, the body of evidence supporting a bear-to-bull transition continues to build week after week for Bitcoin.
In today’s piece, I want to refresh this Quiet and Trending concept, apply it to today’s market structure, and set up a framework for thinking through what looks to be the early chapter of a new bull cycle.
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Disclaimer: The market is risky, and investment needs to be cautious. This article does not constitute investment advice. Users should consider whether any opinions, views, or conclusions in this article are in line with their specific circumstances. Investment based on this is at their own risk.