MegaETH (MEGA)

Some time ago I said MegaETH should scale back Aave incentives and focus on building first party dapps They now appear to be taking that exact approach by reducing Aave incentives and shifting their focus toward in house applications The biggest hurdle now is that it has been some time since TGE and the trust deficit between the chain and its users has grown significantly If they want users to adopt their first party dapps they will likely need a meaningful incentive program to bootstrap usage especially with $MEGA trading at depressed levels To rebuild confidence they should also follow through on the promised buybacks and materially improve communication around their first party applications Announcing first party dapps without providing any meaningful details about the products is frustrating for holders & only adds to the uncertainty

$mega ICO went from $0.1 -> $0.2 .. It dropped about 78.1% from its peak, and that in just 2 months. We should also consider the token business. The era of competing solely on product or tech may be recognized later, but not right now ㅠㅠ Anyway, I want to go long on something.

THESE ALTCOINS HAVE FAILED ❌ 88 out of 100 tokens listed since January 2025 are underwater. > $MEGA > $BERA > $PLUME > $XAN These are just a few hyped launches that dipped massively later. It isn't just structural or the bear market. This is a combination of both. > Delphi Digital tracked 652 tokens listed on major exchanges since January 2025. Only 12% are still above their debut price. The median return is –82%. More than half lost over 80% of their value. > Memento Research came at it from a different angle: 118 major TGEs, measured on opening FDV. 100 of them, 84.7%, trade below where they launched. Median: –71%. Equal-weighted, the 2025 cohort is down ~33%. FDV-weighted, it's down 61.5%. In simple words -> The bigger the launch, the worse the outcome. The wreckage, measured against opening FDV: Syndicate –93.6% Animecoin –93.6% Berachain –93.2% ($4.46B to $305M) Anoma –90.2% Plasma –89.9% ($12.97B to $1.31B) Camp Network –89.1% Plume –87.8% MegaEth -74% And these were launches that were all over CT in the preceding weeks. I personally read all about them before their launch. There are also a few exceptions to this pattern though. The winners were few and narrow. Aster went out at $0.08 in September and hit $1.97 within days. edgeX did +114%. Perp DEXes averaged +213% as a category, but the median was still negative. One monster winner does not make a sector. Averages are lying to you. (That's an argument to give if anyone just follows numbers blindly) → Do the broken ones still have hope? Depends which kind of broken. Some have a supply problem. Plasma's TVL climbed from under $1B to $1.76B in thirty days, making it the 8th largest chain by TVL, while the token sat 90% below its opening valuation. A 2.5B token unlock, 25% of supply, begins this month and runs monthly through 2028. That's a mechanical overhang, not a verdict on the product. It can resolve. It also might not. Some have a business problem. Berachain's TVL fell from a $3.35B peak to roughly $393M, an 88% collapse that tracked the token down. When TVL and price fall together, there's no divergence to trade. The market didn't misprice it. The market repriced it. And some have a trust problem, which is the hardest to come back from. One Berachain investor bought $25M of BERA at $3, with a contractual right to a full refund within a year of TGE. You can rebuild TVL. You cannot quickly rebuild the belief that there weren't two sets of books and that the Berrabadies.... okay let's not get there. The takeaway isn't "tokens are dead." It's that the TGE stopped being an entry point and became an exit. Price discovery now happens before the listing. Retail is buying the top by design. Read the unlock schedule before you read the pitch deck. TGEs are very complicated and they make even more risky in the bad markets. The good markets might even push bad projects in a hype, bad markets are ruthless.

Xeer posted a fake email below but it resonated IMO MegaETH should refund or unlock or airdrop everyone it forced into one-year vesting for $MEGA Giving them only a 10% discount for a full year was always bad faith and a clear miscalculation by the team Can talk about market conditions, but Monad's token launched at the same time and has held around ICO price. Why? They support their token I think the vesting is also causing the death spiral, since everyone knows there are a ton of locked, unhappy holders ready to sell in the future Get rid of the sales overhang, make those holders happy, use the cash pile to support the token, and start fresh

Robinhood did in a week what took MegaETH months. Both are Ethereum L2s, by the way. - TVL: $139.8M vs $42.3M - Chain Revenue (24h): $116.3K vs $1.6K - DEX Volume (24h): $868.7M vs $420K What a time to be a $MEGA holder. https://t.co/KlTTLLIsn3

What is MegaETH btw? I forgot what was their plan to rule the world

Congratulations to everyone who shilled this shit and its ICO at $1B FDV. You’re down 60% in 7 months.

Can you imagine that Uniswap's total liquidity on @MegaETH is $11,000. Don't execute a blind swap or you'll lose more than 30% in slippage. What a shitshow https://t.co/fqHWIjCfZ1

token sales, except let’s stop extracting feels like every founder is using it as a way to GTFO who’s changing this? https://t.co/OTXfbMceu8